https://youtu.be/S5t6K9iwcdw. This is a very interesting video to me because this concept is a big part of the story I’m just completing called ‘The Carneeg.’ some of the early parts of the story have already been published on this website if you’re curious!
In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. All medical X-rays used Kodak film. Camera’s, both commercial and industrial, security camera’s- imaging of all sorts. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years – and most people won’t see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?
Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore’s law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior and got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.
Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.
Welcome to the Exponential Age.
Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
Uber is just a software tool, they don’t own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world.
Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don’t own any properties.
Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world; 10 years earlier than expected.
In the US, young lawyers already don’t get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. THIS IS PROBABLY THE BEST EXTINCTION OF THEM ALL
Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.
Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don’t want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver’s license and will never own a car.
It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 mi (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 6 million mi (10 million km). That will save a million lives each year.
This will increase world over growth and populations.
Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.
Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.
Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.
Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning coming impact.
Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that can’t last.
Technology will take care of that strategy.
With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don’t have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and you breath into it.
It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free.
Goodbye, medical establishment and their absurd medical fees.
3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major shoe companies have already started 3D printing shoes.
Some spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.
At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home. Amazing things are coming fast.
Only the systems for paying for these capabilities remain to be defined.
In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-story office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that’s being produced will be 3D printed.
Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself: “in the future, do you think we will have that?” and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?
If it doesn’t work with your phone, forget the idea.
And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.
And here’s the clincher—Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a small time.
Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working all day on their fields.
Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows. Imagine if we don’t need that space anymore.
There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as “alternative protein source” (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
There is an app called “moodies” which can already tell in which mood you’re in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it’s being displayed when they’re telling the truth and when they’re not.
Bitcoin may even become the default reserve currency. Of the world.
Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year. Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it’s 80 years. The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more that one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably way more than 100.
But over population will create severe food problems.
Education: The cheapest smart phones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia. By 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart phone. That means, everyone has the same access to instant world class education.
The United States of America will most likely fall to a second world status country due to liberal voting policies.
China will become the primary power of the world.
Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in First World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia and will release it in Arabic, Suaheli and Chinese this Summer, because I see an enormous potential.
We will give the English app for free, so that children in Africa can become fluent in English within half a year.
Those of you under 65 today will experience most of these.
NOTE: I did not write this article. It was shared with me by email and no author could be identified. However, it seemed well worth sharing!
What was it in the distance; hard to see on this overcast day? It looked like a cigar with a pencil strapped to it; but, it was in fact the result of millions of years of mankind’s dreams, America’s unified pride and the results of individual freedom to achieve our dreams! As the sun came up from behind the clouds and lit the landscape the view shifted.
Joe stood near the water’s edge and observed this now gleaming pencil like object, pointing skyward, a half mile away across the intercostal. At that distant point in Canaveral it was T minus 30 seconds and the tension was building in the crowd of thousands. These people, like Joe, stood in the now hot florida sun, several deep from the road, waiting the experience of a lifetime. Hand held transistor radios reported from every direction weather and launch status in a cacophony much like standing in flock of excited seagulls.
Joe watched intently as the distant gantry rolled back and misty plumes of gas flared skyward from the dangling hoses. T Minus 5 seconds and crowd began to cheer! Then Zero hour and the flames erupted like a newborn sun beneath the ship. The very Earth below Joe’s feet began to vibrate but it was hard to tell if it was the thundering giant a half mile away or the crowds screaming, cheering and jumping up and down with excitement. Joe was sure it was both.
The niagara like cascade of water, cooling the launch pad, created clouds of steam so huge as to engulf and rise above, the now snail like ascent, of our dreams creation in its caressing arms. Then as if on cue, the huge rocket accelerated skyward to the awe of Joe and millions lost in their screams of joy and visions of America’s future. ……………. It was then we Knew America Was Great!
It was before the corruption of congress, the executive office and bribes from Industry, sucked the spirit, dreams, hope and financial strength out of Americans. It was before the creation of the corporate cronyism that now rules America.
Freedom entails risks! I for one will vote For Change! We cannot afford to go on with the corruption that Hillary is financed by!
READ HOW NASA EMPOWERS YOUR FUTURE!: https://www.nasa.gov/offices/oct/feature/nasa-celebrates-40-years-of-spinoffs
I found this video on a great blog: http://ankursunsharma.wordpress.com I recommend you visit this site. It inspired me to think about what this creative video was offering and what we had at our disposal now. Watch the video and see my comment below. Then visit, Ankursunsharma.
Technology may make virtual reality this real but why wait? Did you ever wake up at 4:30 AM and notice that your body was asleep while you were awake? Your mind is clear and focused, you can recall what you said to your parents at age 3 when they made you go to bed instead of watching the end of the cartoon; or you might choose to vividly recall the emerald green color of the salesgirls eyes when she smiled at you last week in the grocery store. Your mind is sharp yet your muscles are like lead weights and they won’t move. Your body is asleep! This is the hypnagogic state that can take you to lucid dreaming but even better to any where in your mind or any mind. Transcendental meditation can be similar but it takes years to achieve. The hypnagogic state happens every night when you learn to tell your mind to allow it. I liked the video above, it was creative. I write sci-fi based on the trips I take at 4:30 AM. I can’t wait, why should you?